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Unbalanced Volatility: How to Trade the Unbalanced Butterfly

A talk by Michael Bolin
Options Strategist, Bullish Bears

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About this talk

The presentation is going to focus on the unusual volatility in the marketplace and building a “safer” VIX trade that offers a more friendly risk to reward ratio credit spread. This trade takes advantage of the wild moves in volatility and the historic levels presented in previous market uncertainty. As seen in the past (TOS charts will be provided in the presentation) the VIX has a history of fading as investor and trader sentiment in the marketplace absorbs the impact of unexpected events through-out history. While the events may last for a long period of time, the initial uncertainty and spike in the VIX fades as the market comes to terms with the risk climate and this is our opportunity to trade the VIX. Due to the unusual skew conditions, a “typical” credit spread would be hazardous. The trade we will present is shaped with a more balanced risk to reward, keeping the credit received and the risk in the trade closer to a 1:1. Due to backwardation in the /VX futures contracts, we know where the forward (future) price of the VIX is being priced right now and we use that in our strike selection (with a TOS label indicator for download in the presentation).

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